Por Miguel A. Kiguel
Todos sabemos cómo funciona el cepo, y hemos aprendido a vivir con tasas de interés reales negativas, a usar el dólar Contado con Liqui para eludir los controles...
Argentina's Economic Outlook 3Q 2014
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Argentina's Economic Outlook 3Q 2014
Third quarter
2014
Two months after Argentina entered into an 'exotic” default, there are already some concrete consequences: Central Bank reserves started to fall again and tensions on the exchange rate front are rising.
Fábrega resigned to Central Bank presidency and was replaced by Vanoli, who is closer to Kicillof than to Fábrega’s thinking. The main risks going forward are that the currency could become more overvalued in real terms, a situation which will force a tightening of foreign exchange and import controls, and would lead to an increase in the spread between the blue and the official exchange rates.